Sign In Register For Free. Do you have a blog? All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League. Perhaps instead of rushing to make a blockbuster deal for Rice or Caicedo, then, Arsenal should once again trust the process and bank on Alex Scott. NFL's Next Gen Stats captures real time location data, speed and acceleration for every player, every play on every inch of the field. Jessie Bates III and C.J. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. Stop Guessing and Start Winning! Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2:32PM. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. His running mate is a little smaller and more agile, leaving Bradberry to get favorable matchups against the bigger, strong receivers from the other side. Will that come to a screeching halt on Sunday, when the first-year coach faces his longtime mentor and the 49ers' top-ranked defense? . Keegan Abdoo explores a fascinating showdown. The Next Gen Stats toolbox is growing. No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Of all the top free agents the Philadelphia Eagles are in danger of losing, it would appear they are the most committed to signing C.J. All rights reserved. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. Traditionally, quantifying fantasy opportunity has required multi-faceted analysis of metrics across a series of splits and situations. This section is showing information as of the end the 2022-23 season. All salary cap info via Spotrac and all advanced stats via Pro Football Reference unless otherwise . Penalties and special teams plays aren't included in this metric. Gardner-Johnson are culture-changing safeties who could lead a secondary. News, scores, and statistics for your favorite teams and players throughout the 2022 season. Last Updated December 27, 2022, 7:11 AM PST. 2021 NFL rushing stats - Players | NFL.com Player Stats Team Stats Next Gen Stats Player Search NFL+ X Players Only Combine Presented by NOBULL Sauce Gardner and Kenny Moore II join. Here are a few insights from the 2020 season via the results of the new models: -- Quarterbacks averaged +0.12 expected points added (EPA) on designed rollout dropbacks compared with +0.02 on straight drops. To create the Stokastic NFL Projections, we take into account the matchup and account for likely game scripts and add back in the plays that are disregarded in the creation of the neutral game-script statistics. These statistics provide a more detailed view of how a player has accumulated yards along with his opportunities in the rushing and receiving game. Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips is a promising pass-rushing duo. The median FBS offense in 2020 (Georgia State) gained 5.66 yards per play, so anything better than that was above average. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Football 2022 - League 78261 Earned Dec 20, 2022. His 19 percent pass-rush win rate in 2021 yielded 7.5 sacks. Jadeveon Clowney posted nine sacks in that role in 2021, but isn't likely to be back after registering only two in 2022. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. This distinction will allow for more robust analysis of run-pass play-calling tendencies. Next Gen Stats maven Mike Band crunches the numbers on seven crucial Super Bowl LVII matchups. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Passing Rushing Receiving Kicking Returns Defense. The obvious best fit for Hargrave is to remain with the Eagles. Quick Filters. Having met Tom Kennedy during the FanDuel Scottish Open, the two decided to take on the realm of fantasy content along with co-founder Eddie Lai. 1. Or write about sports? He can obviously thrive in Tampa. You don't currently have any notifications. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. AP Offensive Rookie of the Year: Kyler Murray, AP Defensive Rookie of the Year: Nick Bosa, AP Offensive Player of the Year: Michael Thomas, AP Defensive Player of the Year: Stephon Gilmore, Receiving Leader: Michael Thomas, 1725 Yds, Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2:32PM. Clearing enough space to retain him might not be possible. Will the Eagles' pass rush befuddle Patrick Mahomes? The goal of the model was to estimate how many rushing yards a ball-carrier will gain from the moment of the handoff. The best data comes from neutral game-script scenarios, which can be extrapolated into overall team tendencies. But they do have an intriguing young crop of edge rushers. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. View 2022 Advanced Quarterback Stats including Air Yards, Deep Ball Passing, Pocket Time, and more. The Raiders don't have that problem. Denver Broncos, 74% 5. Year Rank W-L Weighted DVOA Offense DVOA Defense DVOA Special Teams DVOA Estimated Wins Unadj. 2022 Stokastic.com LLC. If you or someone you know wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Get the latest stats from across the NFL on CBS Sports. The Carolina Panthers can't offer quite the same tax break, but they do have a young secondary that could use a mentor like Poyer. In 2022, he boasted a pass-rush win rate of 17 percent but had 11 sacks flanked by Haason Reddick on the outside. Why Not Rates for Everything? If he walks, they will be on the hook for $6.9 million in dead cap. Frequently Asked Questions about the NFL and Football, Pro-Football-Reference.com Blog and Articles, Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREE. Sign Up Now Our new all-encompassing fantasy metric is calculated using a combination of the outputs of several NGS machine learning models: Take the difference between a player's actual fantasy points scored and expected fantasy points, and you get the aforementioned FPOE. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles have become quite proficient at the QB sneak. No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. We present them here for purely educational purposes. Key Advanced Metrics and Stats to Add to Your NFL Betting Process. To view standard stats, check out our WR Stats reports. The safety is set to hit the market and Poyer might find it attractive to go to a Texas team with Dan Quinn working as the defensive coordinator. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Expected Fantasy Points distills the value of those opportunities into a single metric that is even more actionable, especially given its scale is comparable across fantasy positions. They were 18th in run defense, but gave up a passer rating of 95.7 (fourth-worst in the league). The team rushing percentage is simply the ratio of rushing plays to the sum of rushing and passing plays. Or write about sports? 2020 CFB Rushing Stats 2022 CFB Rushing Stats. Robinson approaches the 2023 NFL Draft after a successful junior season in 2022, which featured him logging a team-high 258 carries for 1,580 rushing yards (6.1 yards per carry) and 18 touchdowns . Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com As such, the Next Gen Stats team is making it priority to deliver actionable insights and metrics to help you win your fantasy league (or even more importantly in some leagues, avoid the dreaded last-place punishment). Is it a designed run? Advanced stats offer insight into a Running Back's performance beyond the standard box score. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. Clear. What are advanced RB stats? Rushing: More Stats First Downs/Carry Rushing TDs Yards/Carry Rushing First Downs Fumbles Lost Carries Big Rushes (> 10 yds) Longest Run Stuffed Stuffs/Carry Rushing Yards, 1st and 10 %First Down, Run on 3rd/Short %Touchdowns, Runs inside 3 %First Downs, Rushing on 4th & < 3yds %First Downs, Rushing, All 3rd Downs %Touchdowns . Join our linker program. View them for free when you sign up today. But not all opportunities carry the same weight in most fantasy scoring formats. We've built a model to classify quarterback dropback type in real time with the help of player-tracking data. 1 team is headed home. Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2:32PM. They have a comparable young pass rush with Aidan Hutchinson looking like a future star. The Vikings pulled off the biggest comeback in NFL history last week, but the Next Gen Stats analytics team says it wasn't the most improbable comeback of the season. Frequently Asked Questions about the NFL and Football, Pro-Football-Reference.com Blog and Articles, Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREE. We have more advanced metrics to be announced in the coming days, weeks and months. Who's the more explosive ball-carrier, Justin Fields or Lamar Jackson? Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. Do you have a blog? Can Carolina risk letting other teams chase after him? nfl advanced rushing stats . The reliance on zone schemes helped 32-year-old Patrick Peterson finish 12th in PFF grade. Tyson Campbell is CB1 after finishing seventh in PFF grade among all corners. Advanced Rushing Defense Stats shows how NFL defenses perform against opposing rushing attacks, including brand new NFL advanced stats such as brick wall rate, gash rate, and more to help you build fantasy football lineups. Passing basics Mike Watters-USA TODAY Sports We'll. But Dean is still good as a press-man corner and would pair nicely with AJ Terrell to form the foundation of an improving Falcons defense. Knowing team tendencies is critical to success in fantasy football, but it can be confusing looking at box scores and trying to draw conclusions about team tendencies without really digging into the details about how the game flow went. 2022 NFL season's most productive slot receivers: CeeDee Lamb, Justin Jefferson and more NFL CeeDee Lamb recorded 867 receiving yards from the slot last season, the most among the league's wide receivers. Developing Jeremy Chinn as a hybrid linebacker-safety and giving Jaycee Horn room to go should be priorities and Poyer can help elevate that defense. These statistics provide a detailed view of how a WR accumulates Or write about sports? He forced 26 missed tackles and averaged 4.51 yards after contact per rush attempt across his 101 touches in 2019. With tight coverage down the field and a collapsing pocket, Jackson attempted to scramble for a first down. Fantasy. Advanced stats offer insight into a Wide Receiver's performance beyond the standard box score. After getting released by the New York Giants last offseason, Bradberry bet on himself by taking a one-year deal with the Philadelphia Eagles. . According to PFF, he's top 20 in pass-rush win rate, pressure percentage and run-defense grade since he entered the league in 2018. The official source for NFL news, video highlights, fantasy football, game-day coverage . Join our linker program. If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media! Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. To determine what plays qualify for neutral game script, we looked at ones where the score threshold and time left on the clock is within a close enough range to not change the teams optimal strategy. Do you have a blog? Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. The Pats have had several elite cornerbacks in their system. Since partnering with AWS in 2018,. by Gordon McGuinness 1 hour ago Ranking the best cornerbacks from the 2022 NFL season NFL The advanced stats shown here are updated through week 22 of the 2022 season. Advanced Stats Glossary Justin Time for Redemption's Offense roster for week 17. The 26-year-old has started at least 15 games in each of his five seasons, including an All-Pro campaign in 2020. Week 17 stats may change if stat corrections are applied by Sunday, Jan 8. He would certainly understand how to deploy Gardner-Johnson. While most teams play quickly within the 2-minute warning or when playing catchup, theres a large range of pace between NFL teams in neutral game scripts. He has a clear-cut role in which he has excelled in. 154. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023-24 NFL section (probably late May), register for a free account . Edmunds isn't quite on that level, but he could be the closest thing available as the new head coach looks to build his team. Keep an eye out this season for highlight reels of the biggest plays utilizing this metric. They have some good pieces in place to take a step forward. Personnel changes and likely strategic changes are also accounted for. Advanced Rushing * Selected to Pro Bowl, + First-Team All-Pro Share & Export Modify, Export & Share Table Get as Excel Workbook Get table as CSV (for Excel) Get Link to Table About Sharing Tools If the Eagles decide to change course, he could serve as a building block for the Houston Texans. Regular-season record: 298-152 (.662) While Bill Belichick has a longer and more successful overall track record than Reid, the Patriots head coach's efforts without Tom Brady over the past three years push him to No. Whether you view Jamel Dean or James Bradberry as the top corner available likely depends on what you are looking for. New England Patriots officially begin Mac Jones era, but what's next for Cam Newton? With DeMeco Ryans taking over, they have a strong defensive mind who will look to build an elite defense. Wink Martindale is one of the most aggressive defensive schemers in the league. They also have one of the best complimentary pass-rushers on the outside in Maxx Crosby. Is he forced to scramble? The average column is the total percentage of plays that were rushing plays throughout the season. Which game is featured at the top of NGS's unlikeliest victory rankings? Rushing Attempts: Rush Yds: Rushing Yards: Rush TD: Rushing Touchdowns: Rec: Receptions: Rec Yds: Receiving Yards: . Pass VOA Unadj. The average quarterback would only be expected to gain 6 yards in the same situation. Not elite, but good, solid, and far from a liability. Advanced Stats Glossary Tim's Excellent Team's Offense roster for week 17. Advanced Wide Receiver Stats (2022) 2022 NFL Player Statistics - Weeks 1 to 18 What are advanced WR stats? He draws double teams all the time which would free up Davenport to see much bigger sack numbers in 2023. These statistics provide a more detailed view of how a player has accumulated yards along with his opportunities in the rushing and receiving game. Bates was ranked in the top five in PFF's run defense grades for safeties while also racking up four interceptions. View College Football stats, leaders & player statistics. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. Time Period. The Buffalo Bills linebacker will only be 25 years old next season and has the athleticism to make plays all over the field. Click to return to table of contents. The Seahawks don't have an elite pass-rusher on par with Crosby. The Next Gen Stats analytics team reveals its ranking of the top 10 players at the position entering Week 15. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Frequently Asked Questions about the NFL and Football, Pro-Football-Reference.com Blog and Articles, Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREE. Home Realizacje i porady Bez kategorii nfl advanced rushing stats. The Dolphins have a promising young safety in Jevon Holland, but Poyer would be an immediate upgrade over Brandon Jones as Vic Fangio takes over the defense. Season. How to Sports Bet 101: What is a Point Spread? After completing his primary objective, he was looking for what's next. If contending for a Super Bowl remains a priority for Gardner-Johnson, the Bengals are an obvious choice too. The Next Gen Stats toolbox is growing. Advanced stats are updated the Wednesday following the week's games. Davenport has struggled with injuries throughout his career but when he's healthy he checks off all the underlying metrics as a pass-rusher. The Dolphins' high-octane offense has dominated opponents under Mike McDaniel. Xavien Howard is capable of being an elite corner. NFL Team Defense Rushing Yards Allowed Leaders; NFL Team Defense Receiving Yards . MORE: NFL Head Coach Win Leaders. NFL practice squad tracker: Team-by-team roster signings ahead of the 2021 season, Eleven best members of the 2011 rookie class heading into 2021, Saints at Vikings; Jan. 14, 2018 (Divisional Round playoff game), Whether the quarterback took the path of a, Whether a quarterback run was a result of a. Or write about sports? The team rushing percentage is simply the ratio of rushing plays to the sum of rushing and passing plays. Our pace statistics are measured in plays run per 30 minutes of possession in a neutral game script. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. MLB Power Rankings + Sports Betting Model, 2022 Best Ball Rankings/Projections for Underdog, DraftKings, FFPC and Yahoo. NFL and the NFL shield design are registered trademarks of the National Football League.The team names, logos and uniform designs are registered trademarks of the teams indicated. Note: You are reading this message either because you do not have a standards-compliant browser, or because you can not see our css files. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. Player. Rushing Yards / Game Air Force. Developed by Daren Willman. The Next Gen Stats analytics team reveals its ranking of the 10 best edge rushers entering Week 14 of the 2022 NFL season, with the Browns' Myles Garrett leading a list of star defenders. Penalties and special teams plays arent included in this metric. The classification model leverages the combination of a convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) to predict dropback type using player-tracking data as inputs. Find out more. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. Alex is better known to fantasy players by his handle "Awesemo" from seeing him in every big tournament in the industry. Data from Pro Football Reference. The top three plays of the Next Gen Stats era (since 2016) based on the new Big Play Score: Kyler Murray-DeAndre Hopkins 43-yard game-winning TD Speed at Throw: 11.66 MPH Air Distance: 51.7 yards Defenders within 1.5 yards: 3#BUFvsAZ | Powered by @awscloud pic.twitter.com/liLsAmgezf. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. In addition, plays that took place inside the 2-minute warning in each half where passing is heavily incentivized, were disregarded. Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images, Kyle Ross/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League. The data for each week can help determine how big changes like a QB switch impact the teams pace. NFL analyst Adam Caplan was adamant on his Inside the Birds podcast that the Eagles, "will tag him if they don't think they can get a deal done.". Quarterback XFL Fantasy Football Rankings. Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com * Selected to Pro Bowl, + First-Team All-Pro. Philadelphia Eagles, 75% 3. Defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo is a proven defensive mind who helped build a secondary that had the lowest passer rating allowed (80.1) in the league. Find NFL defense rushing stats by team. This includes red zone rushing data, touchdowns scored, inside the five touches, missed tackles forced and more to help you build fantasy football lineups. It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. Top Stacks: Week 11 NFL DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel Based on Awesemos Premium Tool, The Slant And Go: Saints Quarterback Controversy NFL DFS In Week 11. 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018. Advanced stats offer insight into a player's performance beyond the standard box score. Advanced stats offer insight into a Running Back's performance beyond the. We provide entertainment, data, and information. 2023 NFL combine: Top draft prospect workouts, risers, fastest 40s A look at advanced rushing stats for every player that has a rushing attempt in the NFL. In essence, we look at a quarterback's location, speed and direction, powering three separate models to determine: Using dropback classification logic derived entirely from raw player-tracking data, we can create new splits to better understand individual and league-wide passing performance controlling for a quarterback's movement in the pocket. He's an ironman who has played at least 900 snaps in all but two of his 11 seasons while delivering sideline-to-sideline range and good coverage skills. Keegan Abdoo meticulously explains how this could significantly impact Andy Reid's offense -- and fuel Lou Anarumo's defense. -- Four out of every five designed rollout pass plays also featured play-action (82%). Kansas City Chiefs, 74% 4. In fact, over the last 10 college football seasons, there are only 53 total quarterbacks to throw over 250 passes and complete 53.8% or fewer, and to the extent any of those players made the NFL . While he was mostly a disappointment, he came on strong at the end of the year with four sacks, a forced fumble and two fumble recoveries in his final four games of the season. Discover Next Gen Stats News, Charts, and Statistics. Playing poker professionally from 2009-2015, he heard that daily fantasy was the next big game picking up steam, and he quickly saw the potential of the relatively new game. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. The Lions are another young defense that could use Bradberry's services. Lamar Jackson reached a top speed of 20.52 MPH on this 48-yard TD run, the 7th-fastest speed by a quarterback this season.Jackson is responsible for 3 of the fastest 7 plays by a QB this season (21.01 MPH top speed).#BALvsTEN | #Powered by @awscloud pic.twitter.com/0G7YGVQGp7. -- Mike Band and Keegan Abdoo, Next Gen Stats Analysts. Ret. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Formula 1 Bahrain GP DFS Picks for DraftKings: Red Bull Locks Out Front Row, Best NBA Player Props: Giannis Antetokounmpo to Come Up Short on the Glass? The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. Adding Hargrave to the mix could make them elite and allow Hargrave to continue seeing fewer double teams. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Advanced stats offer insight into a Wide Receiver's performance beyond the. What are advanced WR stats? Poyer hits free agency with the Bills already set to pay Hyde $10.6 million in 2023. Weeks 1-19. He's called it home for his entire NFL career so if finishing out his career there is important to him, it's the best landing spot. 2022 NFL Advanced Stats Previous Season Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs AP MVP: Patrick Mahomes AP Offensive Rookie of the Year Garrett Wilson More league info 2022 NFL Season Passing Rushing Receiving Scrimmage Stats Defense Kicking Punting Kick & Punt Returns Defense Red Zone Rushing Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 The advanced stats shown here are updated through week 22 of the 2022 season. Playing alongside an interior pass-rusher like Chris Jones makes life easier. AP Final #1: Georgia. Passing. This website is for entertainment purposes only and does not offer real money bets. 2021 NFL season: Projecting win share leaders on offense, defense, Debrief: 22 biggest moves from NFL cut-down day. All rights reserved. 19 tackles avoided per PFF on receptions, second-most among all college . For plays without a handoff, the model uses a snapshot when the quarterback makes clear his intention to run. Instead of being limited to basic max speed metrics to highlight breakaway scrambles like Lamar Jackson's 48-yard TD in the Ravens' Super Wild Card Weekend win last season, we can open our toolbox to better exemplify what makes Jackson so special. Advanced stats offer insight into a players performance beyond the standard box score. All game times are shown in PST. The design of an offensive play is predicated on the immediate movement of the quarterback. Last year, they spent a small fortune to bring in Chandler Jones. Want Custom Fantasy Scoring? However, they are well over the cap ($18.7 million) and might not be willing to spend that much on another linebacker with Milano on the payroll. NFL Conference Championship January 26, 2:58 pm ET 13 Aaron Schatz in Josh Allen. If David wants to chase another ring or get a bigger payday, then a team like the Miami Dolphins makes a lot of sense. Rock the Stokastic Avatar on DraftKings, FanDuel or Yahoo and Win Platinum! -- 2020 pass EPA leaders by dropback type: Going deeper into the splits, using our new quarterback dropback logic, we can more accurately classify a play-call's intended play type. 2021 NFL season award predictions: Who'll win MVP, Defensive Player of the Year, Rookie of the Year? Basic Stats Advanced Stats Red Zone Stats Fantasy Stats. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. The NFL rushing champion also led the league expected yards per carry, which officially will be added to the Next Gen Stats in 2020. . Advanced stats offer insight into a Running Back's performance beyond the. 2021 NFL Advanced Rushing | Pro-Football-Reference.com via Sports Logos.net About logos 2021 NFL Advanced Rushing Previous Season Next Season Super Bowl Champion: Los Angeles Rams AP MVP: Aaron Rodgers AP Offensive Rookie of the Year: Ja'Marr Chase More league info An ad blocker has likely prevented this video content from loading. But Adrian Amos is a free agent and the Packers could use the upgrade at the position. Quarterback Stats: 2022. Advanced stats are updated the Wednesday following the week's games. So how does the Next Gen Stats Expected Fantasy Points metric work? Jerick McKinnon-Isiah Pacheco: Which Chiefs Player Ranks Better For DFS & Fantasy Football? Visit ESPN to view 2022 NFL stat leaders. To view standard stats, check out our NFL Stat Leaders page. Bates would obviously help improve both of those areas, but they would be relying a lot more heavily on him to make an impact that may be too much. In a league featuring so much pass-catching talent, what's the pecking order at wide receiver right now? AP Offensive Rookie of the Year: Garrett Wilson, AP Defensive Rookie of the Year: Sauce Gardner, AP Offensive Player of the Year: Justin Jefferson, AP Defensive Player of the Year: Nick Bosa, Passing Leader: Patrick Mahomes, 5250 Yds, Receiving Leader: Justin Jefferson, 1809 Yds. Offensive and Defensive NFL Team stats including redzone and 3rd down conversions. NFL Offseason Yesterday 34 Commanders Cut Carson Wentz NFL Offseason February 27, 3:52 pm ET 72 Chiefs Promote Matt Nagy to Offensive Coordinator NFL Offseason February 24, 3:55 pm ET 21 Rams Release LB Bobby Wagner NFL Offseason February 23, 5:32 pm ET 4 Broncos Hire Vance Joseph as Defensive Coordinator They are $18.9 million over the cap, but cutting Shaquill Griffin alone frees up $13.1 million. PTS. Models like Completion Probability, which tells you how likely it is that a pass will be completed, and Expected Rushing Yards, which predicts how many yards a rusher will gain on a run play, create analytical insights and add context to the game.